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Home My WebLink About2015-02-23 - Citizens Advisory Committee Meeting Agenda Packet Yorba Linda Hater District AGENDA YORBA LINDA WATER DISTRICT CITIZENS ADVISORY COMMITTEE MEETING Monday, February 23, 2015, 8:30 AM 1717 E Miraloma Ave, Placentia CA 92870 1. CALL TO ORDER 2. ROLL CALL COMMITTEE MEMBERS Daniel Mole, Chair Bill Guse Rick Buck, Vice Chair Fred Hebein Lindon Baker Joe Holdren Carl Boznanski Modesto Llanos Oscar Bugarini, Sr. Cheryl Spencer-Borden 3. PUBLIC COMMENTS Any individual wishing to address the committee is requested to identify themselves and state the matter on which they wish to comment. If the matter is on this agenda, the committee Chair will recognize the individual for their comment when the item is considered. No action will be taken on matters not listed on this agenda. Comments are limited to matters of public interest and matters within the jurisdiction of the Water District. Comments are limited to five minutes. 4. DISCUSSION ITEMS This portion of the agenda is for matters such as technical presentations, drafts of proposed policies, or similar items for which staff is seeking the advice and counsel of the Committee members. This portion of the agenda may also include items for information only. 4.1. Overview of Board of Directors' Strategic Planning Workshop 4.2. Status of Water Supply Conditions and the Statewide Drought 4.3. President's Report 4.4. Future Agenda Items 5. ADJOURNMENT 5.1. The next Citizens Advisory Committee meeting is scheduled to be held Monday, March 23, 2015 at 8:30 a.m. Items Distributed to the Committee Less Than 72 Hours Prior to the Meeting Pursuant to Government Code section 54957.5, non-exempt public records that relate to open session agenda items and are distributed to a majority of the Committee less than seventy-two (72) hours prior to the meeting will be available for public inspection in the lobby of the District's business office located at 1717 E. Miraloma Avenue, Placentia, CA 92870, during regular business hours. When practical, these public records will also be made available on the District's internet website accessible at http://www.ylwd.com/. Accommodations for the Disabled Any person may make a request for a disability-related modification or accommodation needed for that person to be able to participate in the public meeting by telephoning the Executive Secretary at 714-701-3020, or writing to Yorba Linda Water District, P.O. Box 309, Yorba Linda, CA 92885-0309. Requests must specify the nature of the disability and the type of accommodation requested. A telephone number or other contact information should be included so the District staff may discuss appropriate arrangements. Persons requesting a disability-related accommodation should make the request with adequate time before the meeting for the District to provide the requested accommodation. ITEM NO. 4.1 AGENDA REPORT Meeting Date: February 23, 2015 To: Citizens Advisory Committee From: Damon Micalizzi, Public Information Manager Presented By: Damon Micalizzi, Public Information Manager Subject: Overview of Board of Directors' Strategic Planning Workshop SUMMARY: After five months of assessment by the new General Manager, the District held a Board of Directors Workshop on February 19, 2015 to begin the process of creating a new Strategic Plan. Discussed during the meeting was the District's current business model, it's sustainability through drought and water supply shortages and future enhancements of the water distribution and sewer collection systems. ATTACHMENTS: J111U. Description: Type: Final Presentation.pdf Backup Material Backup Material 2/19/2015 DBoard • Directors February Strategic Plan Workshop Introduction Business Model Refinement Selling Water Service NOT Water Water Service Costs are Rising Faster than CPI 1 2/19/2015 Fixed Fee vs. Volumetric FY 2011/12 FY 2012/13 FY 2013/14 FY 2014/15 Actuals Actuals Actuals Forecast Fixed Charge 3,369,437 3,721,462 4,468,716 5,090,615 Operating Expenses 23,066,060 24,957,463 25,898,185 25,546,336 Percentage of Coverage 15% 15% 17% 20% Fixed Charge as a Percentage of Operating Expenses 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0 Actuals Actuals Actuals Forecast FY 2011/12 FY 2012/13 FY 2013/14 FY 2014/15 ■Fixed Charge ■Operating Expenses Proposed Goal 40% Fixed Charge 60% Volumetric Charge 2 Groundwater Optimization Plan y *41s"GNSO$ �� 2/19/2015 Having Options Gives Us Better Control is f ��T_ �fw:•E`.� 4. DIEMER FILTRATION PLANT,710 MGD YORBA LINDA,CALIFORNIA Factors Influencing Control Import Water Op PIP Ray Mta • Northern CaOVfornVa Snowy Pack • Envy r nmental Issues • Cobrado Rover Issues • MWD Mauntenance and Shutdowns • MWDOC Resources 1`1UV111 i111V1tii11diU14411111111111�N1111 hit till 1111111, 4 2/19/2015 Factors Influencing Control Condensation, The Hydrologic Cycle pi to C..d....ti..t..1..d. e ° \ n e a e e Evapotrafion 6 1 Groundwater Supply off Transpiration percaiskic. , Evaporation Loca0 Raonfall • Loca0 Recharge • Groundwater Replenush moent System • Groundwater Producers Vouce • YLWD weH, Pumpung and Dustribution Capabilities Factors Influencing Cost to Our Customers Irnport Water Groundwater Projecting to spend Projecting to spend 0 million dollars 5 million dollars Includes CUP Includes CUP approximately 10% approximately 10% Estimates 40% of Estimates 60% of our total water our total water supply supply 5 2/19/2015 I r D Systems of YLVVD7Sstems of Today Tomorrow Well Capacity= 13,500 GPM • Well Capacity= 19,500 GPM Distribution Capacity= 70% • Distribution Capacity= 100®/ Groundwater Groundwater Reduce Water Loss Irv i 6 2/19/2015 AMR/AM I Automatic Meter Reading - Data (AMR) • Customer Leaks • Tampeftg/-theft • A&g Meters Advanced Metering . Improved Customer Infrastructure (AMI) Servuce • Cost Savungs Ws ibution System Leakage Reduction r i 7 2/19/2015 Water r Conservation and Drought Situation 51a1"kd9 A-40 MI'FLNT'"-Ey yrlller Yeaz Ig Y1 p �ysp tBBi tvA +arm (] V 8 2/19/2015 YLWD Baseline:29 10 W.GKO VS.P-W.U-Ch.. _19PCD W 9 2/19/2015 Orange County 20 by 2020 Regional Alliance Calculation of Regional Compliance Daily Per Capita Water Use 2015 Regional Target 176.0 2020 Regional Target 158.0 ■ Orange County 20x2020 2014 Individual Individual R nal Alliance Po pulation Tar ets 2015 Targets 2020 Brea 43,30D 248 221 Buena Park 82,700 178 158 EaSt Orange CWD NZ 3,300 261 232 El Toro WD 48,800 183 163 Fountain Valley 5S,10D 157 142 Garden Grove 176,70D 152 142 Golden State WC 170,200 157 142 Huntington Beach 198,2 DD 151 142 Irvine R3rch WD 382,1 DD 192 170 La Habra 61,900 151 150 La Palma 14,9DD 149 140 Laguna Beath CWD 20,300 183 163 Mesa COnso lidated WD 106,500 163 145 Moulton Niguel WD 170,500 194 173 Newport Beach 65,700 228 203 Orange 138,600 203 181 San Clemente 51,200 172 153 San Juan Capi Strand 39,000 206 183 Santa Margarita WD 154,500 190 169 Seal Beach 23,700 149 114 Serrano WD 6,500 434 South Coast WD 35,DDD 169 Tra buco Canyon WD 12,700 233 Tustin 68,DDD 170 Westminster 93,7DD 137 Yorha Linda WD 74,60D 266 Anaheim 358,6DD 183 Fullerton 141,6DO 201 Santa Ana 333,620 123 Regional Alliance Total 3,134,400 176 Y �n We M� R-GCPD 245.53 r 246.27 ' 244.94 ' 249.59 5 Mo Average • 175.89 232.44 6 Mo Average 1 • 158.64 220.14 10 /i ZU14/1 2014-Hottest Year Ever Month 'D YLWD Entered Stage 1 july Au st Se tember 221.27 Conservation Sept. October 201.00 November .: o Average December 95,14 18g.ig The Lexus December .Sales �venf fVOW THROUGH 1AlVUARY 3 2/19/2015 r° 12 r ow s x ' At l " 2/19/2015 $ 9 , 129 , o65 REDUCTION OF REVENUE �y 14 2/19/2015 r Ugly Engineering Well 21 • Richfield Rd Pipeline Well 22 Fairmont BPS Replacement Update®f Urban Water Management Plan Update®f Water Master F, Plan _�F ti j 4 S 15 2/19/2015 Engineering Lakeview BPS Repiping Timber Ridge BPS Rehabilitation PRS Rehabilitation u Annual Capital R&R for Water System Remediation Well 23 Update of Asset Mgmt Plan Update of Sewer Master Plan Engineering Fairmont Site Improvements (Phase 2) _ _ Water System Control Valve at Fairmont/Bastanchury `°= r-• '` %d Upgrade Emergency Backup Power for Facilities Upgrade Cathodic Protection and Corrosion-Control Systems Seismic Retrofit and Security Upgrades of Facilities 16 2/19/2015 Operations Sewer Small Non-Capital Repairs • RepaBr ApproxumaWy 150 SmaH Cracks Operations Sewer Line Capital Repairs • RepaBr ApproxumaWy 15 Me&urn to Large Cracks • Flood Control M-7-33 to M-7-34 • Village Center®r • Loie St Easement 17 2/19/2015 Operations Security at Valley View Reservoir and BPS -,C Operations Single Water Supply Mains Into Savi Ranch, Blue Gum, Hidden Hills, and Casino Ridge Areas Installation of Well Waste Discharge Line Meters I. f• r_ :r / J 18 2/19/2015 Operations Rehab Maintenance of Propane Tanks in Yard Perm Backup Power Supply for Hidden Hills, Box Cyn, Elk Mtn, and YL BPS/Addtl Portable Generators Well 20 ®n-Site Chlorination Generation System Operations Automated Control Valve 1? on OC-5136" Import Line (Diemer Rd) 2 Replacement of Well 15 Chemical Feed Pumps 19 2/19/2015 I WE Operations New PIRS on Hidden Hift Rd Weather Station at Hidden Mis Reservoir Automated Control Valve at Lakeview BPS . = f Drop Iniet Line at Hidden Mis Reservoir Reservoir Mgmt System at Lakeview, Valley View,Gardenia,and Quarter Horse Reservoirs Finance AB-2747 Compliance Water and Sewer Rate Studies O Water Meter Upgrade to Automatic Read System(ARS) Azl� two Plexi-Glass Security Barrier at Front Counter (Z Professional Staff Accountant AAL Interface Customer Service Records with Engineering Records 20 2/19/2015 Administration Implementation of Recommendations Included X746 F in Organizational Performance Review �e Upgrade of Electronic Y Content Management 3 =� System (ECMS) Information Technology Installation of Dehumidifier in Data Center Upgrade Existing Network to S S New Internet Standard Replace ATT Copper Wire Circuits Upgrade District Phone System District Facility Security Cameras and Access Control 21 2/19/2015 Information Technology Upgrade PC Communication Speed .,• Increase Internet Bandwidth Upgrade District Campus • Wireless Board Room and Conference Room Upgrades Upgrade CPUs in PI-Cs Install TAPs Devices Information Technology Enterprise License for GIS NAS File Server Survey Accuracy of GIS Assets Replacement of Data Center Router for SCADA System � > GPS District Assets Emergency Earthquake System at Highland and Lakeview Reservoirs 22 2/19/2015 Human Resources Facility Upgrades for ADA Compliance Fill Vacant Network Administrator Position Staffing Assessment for Records Management Q7 �� Ordinances, Resolutions and Policies WN 23 2/19/2015 Codification Complete and Logical Organization of YLWD's Policies, Rates and Charges, Rules and Regulations Defines Duties and Functions of Board and Staff Analysis and Suggested Amendments to Conflicting or Redundant Ordinances and Resolutions Next Steps r 24 2/19/2015 Budget Workshop Cost of Service Analysis/ Rate Study/ Prop 218 Reserve Policy Adjust rates accordingly, but only after adjusting fees first! Water Service Costs Cost of Doing Business Calculation (Excludes Depreciation Expense) FY 2012/13 FY 2013/14 FY 2014/15 Budget FY 2014/15 Forecast Cost of Doing Cost of Doing Cost of Doing Cost of Doing Business Business Business Business Variable Costs $13,509,336 $13,767,658 $ 14,928,972 $13,954,348 Salary Related $ 7,225,729 $ 8,169,873 $ 8,509,812 $7,680,667 Supplies&Services $ 4,222,398 $ 4,200,654 $ 4,284,969 $3,877,459 Total Operating $24,957,463 $26,138,185 $ 27,723,753 $25,512,474 Interest Expense $ 1,781,416 $ 1,815,317 $ 1,780,793 $1,714,192 Bond Issuance Cost $ 192,410 $ - $ - $ - Other Expenses $ 35,954 $ 76,400 $ 72,000 $ 11,500 Total Non-Operating Expenses $ 2,009,780 $ 1,891,717 $ 1,852,793 $1,725,692 Total Expenses $26,967,243 $28,029,902 $ 29,576,546 $27,238,166 Daily Cost of Business $ 73,883 $ 76,794 $ 81,032 $ 74,625 Calculation for Number of Days of Operating Cost Coverage 162 241 230 250 25 2/19/2015 Questions? 26 ITEM NO. 4.2 AGENDA REPORT Meeting Date: February 23, 2015 To: Citizens Advisory Committee From: Damon Micalizzi, Public Information Manager Presented By: Damon Micalizzi, Public Information Manager Subject: Status of Water Supply Conditions and the Statewide Drought SUMMARY: From Newsweek: California's drought, the worst in modern U.S. history, has ravaged the West for years, dwindling water supplies and withering crops. But scientists say that based on what's to come, the U.S. hasn't seen anything yet. An analysis released Thursday predicts that climate change will cause droughts in the Southwest and Great Plains that exceed any experienced in the last 1,000 years. ATTACHMENTS: 114 I..,. Description: Type: Water Supply Report- BB.pdf Backup Material Backup Material Full Newsweek Article.pdf Backup Material Backup Material MLJNICIRAL WATER DISTRICT OF ORANGE COUNTY Memorandum DATE : February 13, 2015 TO: Member Agencies — MWDOC Division One FROM: Brett R. Barbre, Director— Division One SUBJECT: Monthly Water Usage Data, Tier 2 Projection & Water Supply Information The attached figures show the recent trend of water consumption in Orange County (OC), an estimate of Tier 2 volume for MWDOC, and selected water supply information. Fig. 1 OC Water Usage, Monthly by Supply Imported water was the main supply in December. Fig. 2 OC Water Usage, Monthly, Comparison to Previous Years Water usage in December 2014 was below above average compared to past usage. Fig. 3 Historical OC Water Consumption OC water consumption of about 622,000 AF in FY 2013-14 was up about 3-'/2 % from FY 2012-13, but was still below the long-term average of about 630,000 AF/yr. Although OC population has increased 20% over the past two decades, water usage has not increased, on average. A long-term decrease in per-capita water usage is attributed mostly to Water Use Efficiency (water conservation) efforts. High Temperature, precipitation and the economy all remain indicators to O.C. water consumption. Fig. 4 MWDOC "Firm" Water Purchases, 2014 "Firm" water above the Tier 1 limit will be charged at the higher Tier 2 rate. Our current projection of Tier 2 purchases is zero in 2014. Water Supply Information Includes data on: Rainfall in OC; the OCWD Basin overdraft., Northern California and Colorado River Basin hydrologic data-, the State Water Project (SWP) Allocation, and regional storage volumes. The data has implications for the magnitude of supplies from the three watersheds that are the principal sources of water for OC. Note that a hydrologic year is Oct. 1 st through Sept. 30t". • Orange County's accumulated rainfall through January was slightly below average for this period. This continues the impact of the previous three hydrologic years' below-normal rainfall in reducing those local supplies that are derived from local runoff. • Northern California accumulated precipitation in January was around 89% of normal for this period. The Northern California snowpack was 21% of normal as of January 31St, the date used for year-to-year comparison. This follows two below- average hydrologic years. The State of California has been in a declared Drought Emergency since January 2014. The State Water Project Contractors Table A Allocation is only 15% as of the end of January. This percentage will most likely remain similar due to dry conditions throughout the state. • Colorado River Basin accumulated precipitation in January was a little 82% average for this period. The Upper Colorado Basin snowpack was 86% of average as of January 30th. However, this follows two below-average hydrologic years, and this watershed is in a long-term drought. Lake Mead and Lake Powell combined have about 59% of their average storage volume for this time of year. If Lake Mead's level falls below a "trigger" limit, then a shortage will be declared by the US Bureau of Reclamation (USBR), impacting Colorado River water deliveries for the Lower Basin states. The USBR predicts that the "trigger" limit could be reached as early as July 2015 and most likely in March 2016. [1] Imported water for consumptive use. Includes"In-Lieu"deliveries and CUP water extraction. Excludes"Direct Replenishment'deliveries of spreading water,"Barrier Replenishment'deliveries,and deliveries into Irvine Lake. [2] Other local includes recycled water, local basin water, Irvine Lake water extraction,and Cal Domestic deliveries. Excludes recycled water used for Barrier recharge. Numbers are estimates until data collection is completed. [3] GW for consumptive use only. Excludes In-Lieu water deliveries and CUP water extraction that are counted with Import. BPP in FYI 4-15 is 72%. [4] MWDOC's estimate of monthly demand is based on the projected FY 14-15"Retail"water demand and historical monthly demand patterns. prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County "numbers are subject to change Fig. 1 OC Water Usage, Monthly by Supply with projection to end of fiscal year 80,000 70,000 ■Import[1] W60,000 w u�50,000 W in Other Local [2] x40,000 ❑OCWD 30,000 Basin [3] 20,000 ❑projected [4] 10,000 0 - LO LO LO LO LO LO �-- > L 0 L Q Q (n z 0 ILL � [1] Imported water for consumptive use. Includes"In-Lieu"deliveries and CUP water extraction. Excludes"Direct Replenishment'deliveries of spreading water,"Barrier Replenishment'deliveries,and deliveries into Irvine Lake. [2] Other local includes recycled water, local basin water, Irvine Lake water extraction,and Cal Domestic deliveries. Excludes recycled water used for Barrier recharge. Numbers are estimates until data collection is completed. [3] GW for consumptive use only. Excludes In-Lieu water deliveries and CUP water extraction that are counted with Import. BPP in FYI 4-15 is 72%. [4] MWDOC's estimate of monthly demand is based on the projected FY 14-15"Retail"water demand and historical monthly demand patterns. prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County "numbers are subject to change Fig. 2A OC Monthly Water Usage [1]: Comparison to Last 4 Fiscal Years Partial Year Subtotals ❑FY 10-11 ❑FY 11-12 ■FY 12-13 ■FY 13-14 ❑FY 14-15 80,000 700,000 70,000 600,000 60,000 500,000 w 50,000 L F 400,000 Lu 40,000 W LL Q v 300,000 30,000 a 20,000 200,000 10,000 100,000 - o -5 Z Q > U C: L L T Z) (U Q Notes Allocations were in effect in FY 09-10 and FY 10-11 ending Apr_ 2011. [1] Sum of Imported water for consumptive use(includes"In-Lieu"deliveries; excludes"Direct Replenishment'and"Barrier Replenishment')and Local water for consumptive use(includes recycled and non-potable water; excludes GWRS production, groundwater pumped to waste,and waste brine from water treatment projects.) Recent months numbers include some estimation. prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County "numbers are subject to change 700,000 500,000 H w 400,000 4 W U Q 5111111111t, 200,000 100,000 Fig. 213 Orange County Cumulative Monthly Consumptive Water Usage [1]: present year compared to last 4 calendar years Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec —A CY 2010 _CY 2011 —a--CY 2012 ICY 2013 —4--CY 2014 [1] Sum of Imported water for consumptive use(includes"I n-Lieu"deliveries; excludes"Direct Re plenishment"and"Barrier Replenishment")and Local water for consumptive use(includes recycled and non-potable water; excludes GWRS production and waste brine from water quality pumping projects). prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County "numbers are subject to change [1] Consumption includes potable, recycled and non-potable usage; excludes Barrier and Spreading water. The most recent data involve some estimation. [2] Population estimates in the 2000s decade were revised by the State Dept.of Finance to reflect the 2010 Census counts. [3] Projection of FY 14-15 water use estimated by MWDOC based on partial-year data. Projection of FY 14-15 population estimated by MWDOC continues historical trend. prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County "numbers are subject to change Fig. 3A HISTORICAL WATER CONSUMPTION[1] AND POPULATION[2] IN OC 1 Copuumptii --o- 800,000 3.50 4 Strong Economy 3.00 700,000 Weak Economy 2.50 .. LL Q � O Dry Year Dry Year W 600,000 Wet Year 2.00 Z WWet Year Wet Year Dry Year O ~ Wet Year Wet Year Wet Year 1.50 d 500,000 O o. 1.00 400,000 0.50 300,000 0.00 '89 90 91 '92 '93 '94 95 '96 '97 '98 99 00 01 '02 '03 '04 O5 '06 '07 '08 09 10 11 12 13 -90 -91 -92 -93 -94 -95 -96 -97 -98 -99 -00 -01 -02 -03 -04 -05 -06 -07 -08 -09 -10 -11 -12 -13 -14 Fiscal Year [1] Consumption includes potable, recycled and non-potable usage; excludes Barrier and Spreading water. The most recent data involve some estimation. [2] Population estimates in the 2000s decade were revised by the State Dept.of Finance to reflect the 2010 Census counts. [3] Projection of FY 14-15 water use estimated by MWDOC based on partial-year data. Projection of FY 14-15 population estimated by MWDOC continues historical trend. prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County "numbers are subject to change [1] Consumption includes potable, recycled and non-potable usage; excludes Barrier and Spreading water. The most recent data involve some estimation. [2] Rainfall data from Santa Ana Statin#121 prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County "numbers are subject to change Fig. 313 HISTORICAL WATER CONSUMPTION[1] AND Annual Rainfall[2] oConsumptive Water Use IN OCi Santa Ana Rainfall 800,000 35 Strong Economy Weak Economy 30 700,000 25 LL Q s y 600,000 v 20 — � w W � Q � 15 500,000 10 400,000 5 300,000 0 '89 90 91 '92 '93 '94 95 '96 '97 '98 99 00 01 '02 '03 '04 O5 '06 '07 '08 09 10 11 12 13 -90 -91 -92 -93 -94 -95 -96 -97 -98 -99 -00 -01 -02 -03 -04 -05 -06 -07 -08 -09 -10 -11 -12 -13 -14 Fiscal Year [1] Consumption includes potable, recycled and non-potable usage; excludes Barrier and Spreading water. The most recent data involve some estimation. [2] Rainfall data from Santa Ana Statin#121 prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County "numbers are subject to change 800,000 700,000 LL Q W y 600,000 M M W H Q 500,000 400,000 300,000 =ig. 3C HISTORICAL WATER CONSUMPTION[1] AND Annual Average Higt Temperature[2] IN OC oConsumptive Water Use --o— High Temp 85 '89 190 191 '92 '93 '94 195 '96 '97 '98 199 100 101 '02 '03 '04 105 '06 '07 '08 109 10 11 12 13 -90 -91 -92 -93 -94 -95 -96 -97 -98 -99 -00 -01 -02 -03 -04 -05 -06 -07 -08 -09 -10 -11 -12 -13 -14 Fiscal Year LL 80 L is a CL E a H t P 2 75 j Q 70 [1] Consumption includes potable, recycled and non-potable usage; excludes Barrier and Spreading water. The most recent data involve some estimation. [2] Temperature data is from Santa Ana Fire Station, elevation 135' prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County "numbers are subject to change [1] Consumption includes potable, recycled and non-potable usage; excludes Barrier and Spreading water. The most recent data involve some estimation. [2] Eployment Data source Burea of Labor Statistic for Long Beach-L.A.-Santa Ana Metro Area http://www.bls.gov/lau/ prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County "numbers are subject to change Fig. 3D HISTORICAL WATER CONSUMPTION[1] AND Average Unemployment[2] oConsumptiveWaterUse IN OC Unemployment% 800,000 0% 1% Strong Economy 2% 700,000 Weak Economy 3% 4% LL Q 5% O L y 600,000 6% W 7% o 8% €� 500,000 lo 9% O 10% a a c 11% � 400,000 12% 13% 14% 300,000 15% '89 90 91 '92 '93 '94 95 '96 '97 '98 99 00 01 '02 '03 '04 O5 '06 '07 '08 09 10 11 12 13 -90 -91 -92 -93 -94 -95 -96 -97 -98 -99 -00 -01 -02 -03 -04 -05 -06 -07 -08 -09 -10 -11 -12 -13 -14 Fiscal Year [1] Consumption includes potable, recycled and non-potable usage; excludes Barrier and Spreading water. The most recent data involve some estimation. [2] Eployment Data source Burea of Labor Statistic for Long Beach-L.A.-Santa Ana Metro Area http://www.bls.gov/lau/ prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County "numbers are subject to change 30,00 25,000 20,000 Q 15,000 0 F L C O 10,000 5,000 Fig. 4 MWDOC's Firm Water Purchases in CY 2015 Monthly Actual and Projected to CY Total o Untreated Total Treated E=Proj Monthly Purchases -Cumulative Actual 350,000 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 300,000 250,000 200,000 Q m 0 F 150,000 E D 0 100,000 50,000 Accumulated Precipitation for the Oct.-Sep. water year, through January 2015 50 45 40 35 416 s 25 V i 20 15 10 91% 5 f"0711 0 89 � 21% 82 86% ru ORANGE COUNTY N. SIERRAS NORTHERN UPPER BASIN UPPER BASIN (SANTA ANA) &STATION INDEX CALIF. COLORADO COLORADO SNOWPACK PRECIP. SNOWPACK OThis Year to date ■Average to date A sh ad _ MUNICIPAL * The date of maximum snowpack accumulation (April 1st in Northern Calif. , April WATER DISTRICT O� 15th in the Upper Colorado Basin) is used for year to year comparison. - GRANGE prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County *numbers are subject to change SWP Table A Allocation for State Water Project Contractors s0% s0% s0% Final 2011: 80% 70% /65% 65% Final 2012: 65% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% >< 50% 50% 50% 50% 40% 40% 40%` 35% 35% 35% 35% 30 25% /15% 10% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 0% 0% 0% Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Final 2013: 35% Final 2015: ??? Final 2014: 5% —Water Year 2011 — —Water Year 2012 — —Water Year 2013 — —Water Year 2014 — —Water Year 2015 MUMUIPAL VNATt--R DISTRICT GF ORANGE COLIN7Y prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County *numbers are subject to change OCWD Basin Accumulated Overdraft Annual, 1969 to present Basin Accumulated Overdraft 290,000 AF 50,000 considered (dewatered volume) shown as white end June 100,000 full in 1969. area, excluding the volume stored 2013 150,000 200,000 preliminary a 401,801 AF 250,000 end QNovember 300,000 2014 350,000 400,000 450,000 volume filled with wate I 500,000 & — rn m Ln r` rn m Ln r` rn m Ln r` rn m Ln r` rn m �o r` r` r` r` r` 00 00 00 00 00 rn rn rn rn rn 0 0 0 0 0 —1 rn rn rn rn rn rn rn rn rn rn rn rn rn rn rn rn 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 rl ri rl ri rl ri rl ri rl ri rl ri rl ri rl ri N N N N N N N MLIIU�CIGAL values as of November 30th WAY r-R MISTPIn r OF ORAMOE C01.JIVTY source: OCWD prepared by the Municipal Water District of Orange County *numbers are subject to change State Water Project, Colorado River, and MWD Reservoir Storage as of End of January 2015 Lake Shasta 2.004 Million AF 44% of Capacity 65% of Avera e sha r, Lake Oroville 1.46 Million AF 41% of Capacity 63% of Average Colorado River Basin Lake Shasta 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 ILA Diamond Valley Lake 0.39 Million AF 49% of Capacity 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Lake Oroville Pew f �1 xcricv San Luis Resv. IFI MERIUU Diamond Valley La ke 2.5 - 2.0 - - " 1.5 - Q a 1.0 - 1.0 o o.s - o.s 0.0 - 0.0 25.0 20.0 a 0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 Lake Mead Lake Powell Ny � e WNONINQ Lake Powell - 11.2 Million AF 46% of Capacity �• g�a, _ - - _� . - 67% of Average Lake Mead 10.1 Million AF ` 39% of Capacity 53% of Average * I o" ^ 1 • bem�� L.A. wq.. queducf I Lake Shasta 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 ILA Diamond Valley Lake 0.39 Million AF 49% of Capacity 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Lake Oroville Pew f �1 xcricv San Luis Resv. IFI MERIUU Diamond Valley La ke 2.5 - 2.0 - - " 1.5 - Q a 1.0 - 1.0 o o.s - o.s 0.0 - 0.0 25.0 20.0 a 0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 Lake Mead Lake Powell Lake Mead Levels: Historical and Projected projection per USBR 24-Month Study FE Historical ❑Projected 1170 1160 1150 1140 1130 LL 1120 c 1110 m w 1100 w 1090 mw 1080 1060 1050 a a Ln Ln Ln �O �O �O r" r" r" 00 00 00 m m m o 0 0 N N N m m m a a a Ln Ln Ln �O 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti L_U ` o o o o o o o o o o o o z � z � z � z � z � z � z � z � z � z � z � z � http://www.newsweek.co m/co m i ng-us-megad ro ug hts-wi I 1-be-worse-any-d ro ught-see n-past-1000- yea rs-306585 ,�fib•' � - •an TECH & SCIENCE Within this century, climate change will bring droughts that will dwarf even the current California dry period. ROBERT GALBRAITH/REUTERS The current California drought,the worst in modern U.S. history, has ravaged the Western U.S. for years, dwindling water supplies and withering crops. But scientists say that based on what's to come, the United States hasn't seen anything yet. Welcome to our"remarkably drier future." Analysis released Thursday from scientists at NASA, Cornell University, and Columbia University predicts that climate change will cause droughts in the Southwest and Great Plains of the U.S.that exceed any experienced in the last 1,000 years. These "megadroughts" are likely to begin between 2050 and 2099, and could each last between 10 years and several decades. "Our results point to a remarkably drier future that falls far outside the contemporary experience of natural and human systems in Western North America, conditions that may present a substantial challenge to adaptation," the paper reads. Droughts of this severity would undeniably make human life harder. More severe and longer-lasting drought means less water to grow food. Perhaps most challenging would be the allocation of drinking water in the Great Plains and Southwest of the U.S., where drought will be worst, according to the researchers. Already, towns are running out of water during the current drought in the Western U.S. "[R]ecent years have witnessed the widespread depletion of nonrenewable groundwater reservoirs, resources that have allowed people to mitigate the impacts of naturally occurring droughts,"the paper's researchers said. "In some cases,these losses have even exceeded the capacity of Lake Mead and Lake Powell,the two major surface reservoirs in the region," Warming temperatures and reduced rainfall due to climate change mean greater evaporation of surface water. Drought-depleted reservoirs also threaten to spark a feedback loop of scarcity: Less water in reservoirs will make subsequent droughts worse. "Combined with the likelihood of a much drier future and increased demand, the loss of groundwater and higher temperatures will likely exacerbate the impacts of future droughts, presenting a major adaptation challenge for managing ecological and anthropogenic water needs in the region." Even modeled using"moderate" future emissions predictions, climate change will cause droughts that will "exceed even the driest centuries" seen during the Medieval Warm Period between 1100 and 1300 A.D., according to the paper.That's during the same time of the so-called "Anasazi collapse," when Native Americans migrated en masse away from the four corners region of the U.S.—which consists of the southwestern corner of Colorado, northwestern corner of New Mexico, northeastern corner of Arizona, and southeastern corner of Utah. Skeletal remains of Anasazi people show"signs of starvation, disease, infant mortality and violence, suggesting extreme hardship and competition for dwindling water and food resources," according to B. Lynn Ingram, a paleoclimatologist at the University of California, Berkeley, and author of the book The West Without Water. Ingram, who was not involved with the newly released paper forecasting megadrought, had previously concluded that the current drought has left California at its driest since 1580, when tree rings indicate "it was so dry those trees failed to grow." She sees a connection between the Anasazi's struggle with drought and our current drought crisis: Prior to the medieval megadrought,there was a period of wetness, and the Anasazi's population size grew, much like ours has.This left them "more vulnerable when the climate changed," she told Newsweek last year. To analyze the impact of dry and wet periods,the researchers behind the newly released paper used data from tree rings, whose variations in pattern leave imprints indicating the soil conditions in any given year over decades of growth.They also drew data from 17 different climate change models based on various greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, as well as 15 models of historical rainfall and evaporation patterns